Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000221 0.000245 0.000271 0.000301 0.000334 0.000370 0.000413
2025-10-05 0.000180 0.000215 0.000257 0.000309 0.000373 0.000450 0.000550
2025-10-12 0.000154 0.000195 0.000246 0.000315 0.000405 0.000522 0.000686
2025-10-19 0.000134 0.000177 0.000233 0.000312 0.000424 0.000576 0.000804
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000165 0.000225 0.000315 0.000448 0.000638 0.000941
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000152 0.000215 0.000311 0.000460 0.000684 0.001057
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000142 0.000207 0.000310 0.000475 0.000735 0.001189
2025-11-16 0.000089 0.000132 0.000197 0.000305 0.000482 0.000773 0.001304
2025-11-23 0.000080 0.000122 0.000187 0.000297 0.000484 0.000801 0.001405
2025-11-30 0.000076 0.000118 0.000185 0.000301 0.000507 0.000869 0.001587
2025-12-07 0.000072 0.000115 0.000184 0.000307 0.000533 0.000943 0.001793
2025-12-14 0.000067 0.000108 0.000177 0.000303 0.000539 0.000983 0.001936
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000100 0.000167 0.000293 0.000535 0.001004 0.002051
2025-12-28 0.000058 0.000098 0.000166 0.000299 0.000563 0.001094 0.002332
2026-01-04 0.000055 0.000095 0.000165 0.000304 0.000590 0.001186 0.002635
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000090 0.000160 0.000302 0.000601 0.001245 0.002876
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000087 0.000158 0.000305 0.000623 0.001333 0.003203
2026-01-25 0.000046 0.000083 0.000153 0.000301 0.000630 0.001387 0.003455
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000080 0.000149 0.000300 0.000644 0.001457 0.003765
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000076 0.000144 0.000295 0.000646 0.001502 0.004017
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000072 0.000138 0.000287 0.000643 0.001530 0.004224
2026-02-22 0.000037 0.000070 0.000137 0.000291 0.000669 0.001640 0.004705
2026-03-01 0.000036 0.000069 0.000137 0.000297 0.000699 0.001764 0.005262